Seems the conventional wisdom is that the court will rule against the individual mandate. The odds have steadied out at 80-20 against over the course of the week. I think the more interesting questions are:
1. Does any part of the law survive, since the Congress didn't put in severability, as if daring the court to rule against. Or does the court bail out Congress.
2. What about the Medicaid expansion? Potentially, that turns on just as large a set of issues and potentially ends any pretense of state sovereignty. Further, it is probably much more of an impact to the federal and state budgets.