Showing posts with label bailout world. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bailout world. Show all posts

Monday, May 10, 2010

Planet Bailout

Today's Drudge Report "mini-headlines" looked approximately like this:













Without linking to the articles, it is clear we are leaving Bailout Nation and entering Planet Bailout. The U.S. involvement in this global stupidity is growing, quickly erasing any schadenfreude I might have been nursing after watching Greek communists in action. In the what could go wrong category, consider this AP headline:



WASHINGTON – The Federal Reserve late Sunday opened a program to ship U.S. dollars to Europe in a move to head off a broader financial crisis on the continent.

Other central banks, including the Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan also are involved in the dollar swap effort.
Hey, that's our money. Who gave the Fed the authority to do that?

Meanwhile, the marginal tax rate for the middle class hovers around 40%. Interesting reading here and here on the perverse effects of our marginal tax rates. And the Democrats are set to increase taxes on dividends and capital gains. It's hard enough for the average person to save money as it is, because the average middle income earner loses 40 cents on every new dollar they make. Over the last century, investing in stocks was the best way to increase wealth, but Obama and the Democrats want to make that harder as well.

With ballooning deficits and an apparent commitment to bail out the entire world, no wonder the Tea in Tea Party stands for Taxed Enough Already. Reversing the mushrooming size of government and the idea that handing out dollops of cash will willy-nilly will solve any problem is the signature issue of the Tea Party. We must keep up this fight, because the latest actions of an unaccountable Federal Reserve show how much danger we are in.

Just keep in mind that this is the ultimate destination for your hard earned dollars when the fed ships it to Europe:




Might as well light our dollars on fire here, and save the expense of sending them to Greece.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

Greek Solution - UPDATE

This so obvious, that it won't happen, but I can't believe it took me until today to figure it out. The whole reason for the crisis is that the Greeks can't slowly default by monetizing their debt (i.e. devaluing their currency thereby inducing inflation) the traditional deadbeat and third world way out of this kind of jam. This is because they use the euro as their currency and can't print more. Further, their deficit and debt ratios exceed the thresholds imposed by the treaty that admitted them to the union. Since they lied about their finances, violating the treaty, the EU should just expel them. Then they can do whatever they like. Since that will also put them outside the EU, it will also staunch the bleeding in the EU markets. Further, it will have a salutary effect on any other member nations not getting their act together.

Of course, this won't happen, because the whole world has adopted the paradigm of TBTF.

UPDATE

The Wall Street Journal, (the nation's real newspaper of record, IMHO) addresses the difficulties of my plan. But at least it shows that it is being considered.

From a legal perspective, there is no mechanism to force a country out of the currency area, European Central Bank legal counsel Phoebus Athanassiou argued in a December 2009 working paper. And while the Lisbon Treaty introduced a means for states voluntarily to withdraw from the European Union, it was silent on leaving the euro. Ultimately, that means the only way a country could leave the euro would be to quit the EU, too, according to Mr. Athanassiou. That raises the stakes far higher, since it would affect the rights and obligations of citizens and companies.

Practically, too, leaving the euro would be extremely difficult. Beyond the huge logistical problems in introducing a new currency and untangling the national central bank from the Euro system, a euro exit followed by a devaluation would likely leave a country with a mountain of unserviceable euro-denominated debt, leading to major legal wrangles, mass personal bankruptcies and huge losses for creditors.

Doesn't change my position, but it does show what it would take. Exit question, will the Greeks themselves decide this their best option?

Stupid Headline of the Week

This one is too easy:

Euro market meltdown resumes despite Greek deal

How about because of the Greek bailout? How about what did you expect? The Greeks have shown neither the willingness nor the ability to figure out how to deal with their debts and structural deficit. That 110 billion euro promised? Might as well flush it. And the reason the euro market is melting down? Clearly more bailouts are on the way; in for a dime, in for a euro.

The reporting in the linked headlines isn't near as bad as the editorial writing that came up with the headline. Some tidbits:

In Athens, striking public workers challenged Greece's 110 billion euro ($146.5 billion) bailout-for-austerity deal, starting a 48-hour national strike that shut down ministries, tax offices, schools, hospitals and public services.
While I can get behind the whole tax office shut down; you have to ask yourselves, are these people insane? Where do those public workers think their salaries come from? I guess they don't think. Further, just because there was a bailout, don't think default isn't in the cards anyway. Look who's been signed on to help the Greeks:

News that Greece has appointed debt restructuring specialists Lazard to provide "general financial advice" fueled speculation that some form of orderly rescheduling or payment moratorium may be likely, despite vehement official denials.

Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou told Reuters after news of the Lazard hire: "Any form of debt restructuring is out of the question."
The denials are certainly convincing to me.

And if you thought this was an amusing little comeuppance for uppity euro-trash socialists, guess who's also footing the bill. From W.C.'s column today, quoting John Mauldin of Investor's Insight:

Let me start this week's Outside the Box by venting a little anger. It now looks like almost 30% of the Greek financing will come from the IMF, rather than just a small portion. And since 40% of the IMF is funded by US taxpayers, and that debt will be JUNIOR to current bond holders (if the rumors are true) I can't tell you how outraged that makes me.
To quote W.C., welcome to bailout planet baby.

Here is the picture accompanying the article:


Exit question, why a sign in English and why the commie hammer and sickle? OK that's two questions, but somebody help me out.